Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.162543 0.187950 0.215990 0.249229 0.287558 0.330376 0.381851
2025-11-23 0.121847 0.155690 0.196852 0.250593 0.318927 0.402961 0.514252
2025-11-30 0.101007 0.138309 0.186835 0.254570 0.346723 0.467826 0.639305
2025-12-07 0.083856 0.121518 0.173281 0.249600 0.359330 0.511569 0.739246
2025-12-14 0.071698 0.109134 0.163102 0.246536 0.372386 0.555384 0.842332
2025-12-21 0.063781 0.101451 0.158123 0.249538 0.393460 0.611710 0.968727
2025-12-28 0.059286 0.098163 0.158973 0.260937 0.427859 0.690855 1.137985
2026-01-04 0.054570 0.093783 0.157373 0.267895 0.455494 0.761727 1.301304
2026-01-11 0.050340 0.089584 0.155408 0.273726 0.481476 0.832025 1.470676
2026-01-18 0.046072 0.084734 0.151683 0.275904 0.501101 0.893155 1.630303
2026-01-25 0.041494 0.078741 0.145229 0.272370 0.509973 0.936093 1.761657
2026-02-01 0.036867 0.072087 0.136805 0.264184 0.509239 0.961368 1.862749
2026-02-08 0.034583 0.069666 0.136013 0.270395 0.536487 1.041449 2.077180
2026-02-15 0.031959 0.066275 0.133020 0.272041 0.555162 1.107388 2.271863
2026-02-22 0.029923 0.063807 0.131510 0.276355 0.579393 1.186218 2.500244
2026-03-01 0.027111 0.059391 0.125595 0.270961 0.583131 1.224366 2.649060
2026-03-08 0.024809 0.055787 0.120940 0.267637 0.590710 1.270873 2.820047
2026-03-15 0.023325 0.053789 0.119442 0.270895 0.612666 1.349487 3.068438
2026-03-22 0.022711 0.053667 0.121967 0.283264 0.655916 1.477955 3.440638
2026-03-29 0.021750 0.052633 0.122355 0.290815 0.689044 1.587361 3.781112
2026-04-05 0.020768 0.051434 0.122231 0.297143 0.719968 1.694761 4.128175
2026-04-12 0.019591 0.049632 0.120519 0.299506 0.741735 1.783179 4.439413
2026-04-19 0.018124 0.046948 0.116435 0.295672 0.748097 1.835986 4.669675